The coup attempt in Armenia is the Kremlin's new strategy

Sociologist and International Relations Expert Asst. Prof. Dr. Bahlul Aliyev, who describes the call of the General Staff Presidency of Armenia to resign Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan as the 'coup attempt of the Kremlin', said: "The General Staff Memorandum is the first leg of the new strategic initiative published with the intervention of Russia."

The coup attempt in Armenia is the Kremlin's new strategy

After the General Staff of Armenia issued a memorandum calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Prime Minister Pashinyan, who described the memorandum as a coup attempt, invited his supporters to the squares. Underlining that such an initiative cannot occur without the control of Russia, Asst. Prof. Dr. Bahlul Aliyev, a faculty member at the School of Applied Sciences of Istanbul Gelisim University (IGU), said: “The General Staff Memorandum is a step towards bringing a person who gets along well with Russia to domination in Armenia rather than protecting Onik Gasparyan. Russia needs a more loyal and more harmonious leader of Armenia for its plan regarding the region."
Emphasizing that the Kremlin has reintroduced the Karabakh Clan under the leadership of Kocharyan - Sarkisian in order to discredit Prime Minister Pashinyan, Asst. Prof. Dr. Aliyev said: “Russia wants to recreate the political-military situation in the 90s to keep the area under more effective control as well as to prevent the growing influence of Turkey in the South Caucasus. Although the western-leaning Pashinyan government cannot completely prevent the implementation of this plan, it slows down the process. For this reason, Pashinyan has re-engaged the 'Garabagh Clan', using the defeat in the Nagorno-Karabakh war, to overthrow the government as soon as possible. It is part of this plan that Robert Kocharyan, who had been on trial for corruption, declared his return to politics again, and Serzh Sargsyan accused Pashinyan of pursuing cheap fame, since the opposition parties' unification and demand for Pashinyan's resignation did not yield the expected results. Thus, they first tried to discredit Pashinyan in society. The fact that the majority found the old Karabakh clan guilty in the defeat in the war during the interrogation of GALLUP in Armenia and Pashinyan was still in power showed that he had a lot of supporters.”
Aliyev pointing out that the polemic that Pashinyan unwittingly started over the uselessness of the 'Iskander' missiles triggered the Kremlin's long-planned strategic initiative in the South Caucasus and enabled the action to be put into effect as soon as possible, added:
“Pashinyan’s words responding to the criticisms made to him recently and stating that the Russian-made 'Iskander' missiles, which were included in the inventory during the Sargsyan period, were used in the war, but only 10 percent exploded, therefore they raised the tensions between the two countries. The Russian arms industry, which suffered a serious loss of prestige in the arms market after the war in Libya, Syria and most recently in Nagorno-Karabakh, was further shaken by this statement.”
Aliyev continued his words as follows:
“The fear that Russia's second source of income after fossil fuel could be negatively affected with the Joseph Biden’s coming to power after Trump, who took a moderate approach to Russia in the USA, and immediately after that declaring Russia the greatest threat to America's security, caused political hysteria in Russia in the period when there were concerns that sanctions against Russia would increase in the coming days. The fact that Russian officials at different levels count the advantages of the "Iskander" missiles and make repeated statements that "Pashinyan attributes his incompetence to Russian-made weapons" is an indication of how angry the Kremlin is at the issue. In addition, Chief of General Staff Onik Gasparyan’s statement, whom Pashinyan tried to dismiss, that they wanted to use "Iskander" missiles during wartime, but Pashinyan did not allow it, sounds like an ordered claim.”


Underlining that if Russia's attempt is successful, the situation in the region will be difficult for all parties again, Asst. Prof. Dr. Bahlul Aliyev concluded his words as follows: “Russia will enable the person to rule over Armenia to make more revanchist rhetoric and to re-militarize the society. This may lead to new disasters for the countries of the region. According to what Pashinyan said, President Armen Sargsyan is also forced to participate in the coup attempt. If the Pashinyan supporters fail to suppress this initiative, tensions may rise in the region."

Edited date: 26.02.2021
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